Belarus’
Aryna Sabalenka is having a tough year. It is
hard to say that for a player who has suffered just nine defeats in 56 matches
in 2025. However, Sabalenka will also admit that the last seven months have been
far from perfect.
Sabalenka has featured in 12 competitions in 2025 but has
won only three of them. That is a low return for a player who has
featured in the semifinals on nine occasions. In January, Sabalenka lifted the
Brisbane International after beating Polina Kudermetova in the final with a
score of 4-6, 6-3, 6-2. In March, the top-ranked player in the
WTA rankings lifted the Miami Open after beating America’s Jessica Pegula in the final in straight sets with a score of 7-5, 6-2. Sabalenka’s last title came in April, where she
defeated America’s
Coco Gauff in the final in Madrid with a score of 6-3, 7-6.
Three titles for any player in 12 months would have been great, but for Sabalenka, it has been a different story. Since the start of 2025,
Sabalenka has lost four finals as well. Two of those came in the final of the
Grand Slams. At the Australian Open, Sabalenka fell short in her title defence
as she lost to America’s Madison Keys in the final with a score of 6-3, 2-6,
7-5. At the French Open, Sabalenka came second-best to Gauff, who came out on
top with a score of 6-7, 6-2, 6-4.
Those performances have not impacted Sabalenka’s place in
the WTA rankings, but it has affected her position in the alternative UTR
rankings. America’s Gauff has managed to overtake Sabalenka in the updated UTR
rankings. The UTR rankings work in a different manner compared to the WTA rankings. Unlike the WTA rankings, where the algorithm works according to a player’s performance based on a 52-week pattern, the UTR ranking is based on current performances and showcases players' recent form.
Coco Gauff on the rise
In the UTR rankings, beating a top-ranked player also gives
more points. It seems that Gauff’s win in the final of the French Open played a
key role in her taking over Sabalenka in the updated UTR rankings. Sabalenka’s
most recent outing was at Wimbledon, where she suffered a surprising defeat in
the semifinal to America’s Amanda Anisimova with a score of 6-4, 4-6, 6-4. Since
then, Sabalenka has not played any tennis and will be returning to action at
the Cincinnati Open.
On the other hand, Gauff is currently playing at the Canadian
Open, where she has already cemented her spot in the fourth round after beating Russia’s
Veronika Kudermetova with a score of 4-6, 7-5, 6-2. Gauff will be hoping to
extend her run in the competition and extend her lead at the top in the UTR
rankings over Sabalenka, but for that to happen, she will have to improve her
service. In the first two matches of the Canadian Open, Gauff has committed 37
double faults, the most by any player. Talking about that ahead of the fourth-round
clash against Canada’s Victoria Mboko, Gauff admitted that she is keen to improve
those numbers substantially.
"Obviously, I'm very disappointed with myself
regarding that part of the game just because I didn't play in Washington to
work on it, make changes, and do well in training, where I was serving very
well, so I would like that to transfer to the match,” she said. “The positive
is that I'm winning these matches literally having a part of my game on
crutches. It's as if I could lean on both feet, then I can only imagine it
would be much easier and much simpler for me. There are two things I can take
from it. I don't want to lead that statistic, and I want to improve. I know
I'll probably never be free of double faults, but if I could reduce it to 2% or
3%, that would make a big difference and would make these matches much easier.
The fact that I'm winning matches and finding ways to win with that is
undoubtedly a positive thing."