Hours remain until the start of
Wimbledon, and WTA players
are gearing up for an uncertain tournament with many points at stake. The 2023
champion
Marketa Vondrousova and runner-up
Ons Jabeur face the highest risk of
losing points if they fail to replicate last year's campaign.
Defending these points over the coming weeks will be crucial
for them, as Vondrousova and Jabeur strive to maintain their positions in the
top 10. They are not alone in facing significant point defense challenges;
players like
Aryna Sabalenka and
Elina Svitolina are also under pressure to
deliver strong performances.
Back in 2023, Marketa Vondrousova surprised everyone by
winning her first Grand Slam title without even being seeded. She defeated Ons
Jabeur, who was in her second consecutive final at the All England Club but
fell just short once again of claiming her first Grand Slam title.
In addition to the trophy, Vondrousova earned 2,000 ranking
points that have helped her remain in the top 10 over the past year. However,
she is now preparing to potentially lose those points if she fails to defend
her crown. Without her Wimbledon points, Vondrousova would drop to world No.
15, while Jabeur would slide to 14th, discounting the 1,300 points she earned
as the 2023 runner-up.
Marketa Vondrousova defeated Jabeur in the 2023 Wimbledon final.
The 2023 semifinalists Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina
are defending a total of 780 points. Sabalenka, who fell to Jabeur in three
sets, is now the third seed after
Coco Gauff surpassed her in the WTA rankings
a couple of weeks ago following the
French Open.
Gauff hardly has points to
defend at SW19, and if Sabalenka fails to at least repeat last year's semifinal
run, she risks losing further ground to the American, who is currently ranked
second in the world. Meanwhile,
Elena Rybakina (No. 4) could close the gap if
she improves on her quarterfinal performance from 2023.
As for Svitolina, she was the surprise package in the
semifinals last year, and the points she earned at Wimbledon now constitute
nearly 40% of her total points over the last 52 weeks. A first-round defeat
would likely drop her out of the top 40 and potentially lower, depending on
tournament results.
Finally, the remaining players who reached the quarterfinals
last year are defending 430 points, a significant amount, especially for those
outside the top 10. Both
Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina defended quarterfinal
appearances last year. For Swiatek, even a first-round exit won't threaten her
world No. 1 position, so her focus will likely be on contending for the title.
Rybakina, too, is safe from losing positions with a early loss, given her
substantial lead over her pursuer, Pegula, who defends the same number of
points as Rybakina and Swiatek.
By the other hand, the points are crucial for American
Madison Keys, who has
struggled with injuries over the past year. The quarterfinal points from the
2023 Wimbledon have been instrumental in keeping her in high rankings and
seeded in major tournaments.
Projected WTA Raking (after Wimbledon)
Projected Ranking | Current Ranking |
Player
|
Points before
Wimbledon
|
Points
after Wimbledon
|
1 | 1 |
Iga Świątek
|
11585
|
11165
|
2 | 2 |
Coco Gauff
|
7943
|
7943
|
3 | 3 |
Aryna
Sabalenka
|
7841
|
7071
|
4 | 4 |
Elena
Rybakina
|
6026
|
5606
|
5 |
5
|
Jessica
Pegula
|
5025
|
4605
|
6 |
7
|
Jasmine
Paolini
|
4228
|
4228
|
7 |
8
|
Qinwen Zheng
|
4055
|
4055
|
8 |
9
|
Maria Sakkari
|
3805
|
3805
|
9 |
11
|
Danielle
Collins
|
3532
|
3472
|
10 |
12
|
Daria
Kasatkina
|
3283
|
3163
|
11 |
14
|
Jeļena
Ostapenko
|
3058
|
2998
|
12 |
15
|
Ludmilla
Samsonova
|
2830
|
2830
|
13 |
13
|
Madison Keys
|
3068
|
2648
|
14 |
10
|
Ons Jabeur
|
3801
|
2511
|
15 |
6
|
Markéta
Vondroušová
|
4463
|
2473
|
16 |
18
|
Anna
Kalinskaya
|
2310
|
2320
|
17 |
17
|
Emma Navarro
|
2323
|
2309
|
18 |
16
|
Victoria
Azarenka
|
2399
|
2169
|
19 |
19
|
Marta Kostyuk
|
2240
|
2120
|
20 |
20
|
Beatriz
Haddad Maia
|
2218
|
1988
|
21 |
25
|
Leylah
Fernandez
|
1920
|
1860
|
22 |
22
|
Ekaterina
Alexandrova
|
2053
|
1823
|
23 |
24
|
Caroline
Garcia
|
1938
|
1818
|
24 |
26
|
Linda Nosková
|
1775
|
1775
|
25 |
23
|
Mirra
Andreeva
|
2018
|
1748
|
26 |
27
|
Dayana
Yastremska
|
1760
|
1740
|
27 |
30
|
Diana
Shnaider
|
1690
|
1675
|
28 |
28
|
Anastasia
Pavlyuchenkova
|
1756
|
1657
|
29 |
29
|
Katie Boulter
|
1748
|
1628
|
30 |
34
|
Karolína
Muchová
|
1618
|
1618
|
31 |
32
|
Barbora
Krejčíková
|
1643
|
1583
|
32 |
33
|
Elise Mertens
|
1629
|
1569
|
33 |
31
|
Sorana
Cîrstea
|
1675
|
1555
|
34 |
35
|
Yulia
Putintseva
|
1553
|
1526
|
35 |
36
|
Kateřina
Siniaková
|
1546
|
1486
|
36 |
37
|
Veronika
Kudermetova
|
1488
|
1428
|
37 |
40
|
Yue Yuan
|
1452
|
1422
|
38 |
42
|
Xinyu Wang
|
1411
|
1351
|
39 |
38
|
Donna Vekić
|
1468
|
1348
|
40 |
21
|
Elina
Svitolina
|
2100
|
1330
|
41 |
41
|
Anastasia
Potapova
|
1415
|
1295
|
42 |
46
|
Karolína
Plíšková
|
1255
|
1255
|
43 |
39
|
Marie
Bouzková
|
1465
|
1235
|
44 |
45
|
Clara Burel
|
1288
|
1218
|
45 |
43
|
Elisabetta
Cocciaretto
|
1328
|
1198
|
46 |
47
|
Anhelina
Kalinina
|
1246
|
1186
|
47 |
44
|
Magda Linette
|
1291
|
1171
|
48 |
50
|
Sloane
Stephens
|
1217
|
1157
|
49 |
48
|
Viktoriya
Tomova
|
1223
|
1154
|
50 |
51
|
Caroline
Dolehide
|
1100
|
1100
|