Hours remain until the start of Wimbledon, and WTA players
are gearing up for an uncertain tournament with many points at stake. The 2023
champion Marketa Vondrousova and runner-up Ons Jabeur face the highest risk of
losing points if they fail to replicate last year's campaign.
Defending these points over the coming weeks will be crucial
for them, as Vondrousova and Jabeur strive to maintain their positions in the
top 10. They are not alone in facing significant point defense challenges;
players like Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina are also under pressure to
deliver strong performances.
Back in 2023, Marketa Vondrousova surprised everyone by
winning her first Grand Slam title without even being seeded. She defeated Ons
Jabeur, who was in her second consecutive final at the All England Club but
fell just short once again of claiming her first Grand Slam title.
In addition to the trophy, Vondrousova earned 2,000 ranking
points that have helped her remain in the top 10 over the past year. However,
she is now preparing to potentially lose those points if she fails to defend
her crown. Without her Wimbledon points, Vondrousova would drop to world No.
15, while Jabeur would slide to 14th, discounting the 1,300 points she earned
as the 2023 runner-up.
Marketa Vondrousova defeated Jabeur in the 2023 Wimbledon final.
The 2023 semifinalists Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina
are defending a total of 780 points. Sabalenka, who fell to Jabeur in three
sets, is now the third seed after Coco Gauff surpassed her in the WTA rankings
a couple of weeks ago following the French Open.
Gauff hardly has points to
defend at SW19, and if Sabalenka fails to at least repeat last year's semifinal
run, she risks losing further ground to the American, who is currently ranked
second in the world. Meanwhile, Elena Rybakina (No. 4) could close the gap if
she improves on her quarterfinal performance from 2023.
As for Svitolina, she was the surprise package in the
semifinals last year, and the points she earned at Wimbledon now constitute
nearly 40% of her total points over the last 52 weeks. A first-round defeat
would likely drop her out of the top 40 and potentially lower, depending on
tournament results.
Finally, the remaining players who reached the quarterfinals
last year are defending 430 points, a significant amount, especially for those
outside the top 10. Both Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina defended quarterfinal
appearances last year. For Swiatek, even a first-round exit won't threaten her
world No. 1 position, so her focus will likely be on contending for the title.
Rybakina, too, is safe from losing positions with a early loss, given her
substantial lead over her pursuer, Pegula, who defends the same number of
points as Rybakina and Swiatek.
By the other hand, the points are crucial for American Madison Keys, who has
struggled with injuries over the past year. The quarterfinal points from the
2023 Wimbledon have been instrumental in keeping her in high rankings and
seeded in major tournaments.
Projected WTA Raking (after Wimbledon)
| Projected Ranking | Current Ranking | Player | Points before Wimbledon | Points after Wimbledon |
| 1 | 1 | Iga Świątek | 11585 | 11165 |
| 2 | 2 | Coco Gauff | 7943 | 7943 |
| 3 | 3 | Aryna Sabalenka | 7841 | 7071 |
| 4 | 4 | Elena Rybakina | 6026 | 5606 |
| 5 | 5 | Jessica Pegula | 5025 | 4605 |
| 6 | 7 | Jasmine Paolini | 4228 | 4228 |
| 7 | 8 | Qinwen Zheng | 4055 | 4055 |
| 8 | 9 | Maria Sakkari | 3805 | 3805 |
| 9 | 11 | Danielle Collins | 3532 | 3472 |
| 10 | 12 | Daria Kasatkina | 3283 | 3163 |
| 11 | 14 | Jeļena Ostapenko | 3058 | 2998 |
| 12 | 15 | Ludmilla Samsonova | 2830 | 2830 |
| 13 | 13 | Madison Keys | 3068 | 2648 |
| 14 | 10 | Ons Jabeur | 3801 | 2511 |
| 15 | 6 | Markéta Vondroušová | 4463 | 2473 |
| 16 | 18 | Anna Kalinskaya | 2310 | 2320 |
| 17 | 17 | Emma Navarro | 2323 | 2309 |
| 18 | 16 | Victoria Azarenka | 2399 | 2169 |
| 19 | 19 | Marta Kostyuk | 2240 | 2120 |
| 20 | 20 | Beatriz Haddad Maia | 2218 | 1988 |
| 21 | 25 | Leylah Fernandez | 1920 | 1860 |
| 22 | 22 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2053 | 1823 |
| 23 | 24 | Caroline Garcia | 1938 | 1818 |
| 24 | 26 | Linda Nosková | 1775 | 1775 |
| 25 | 23 | Mirra Andreeva | 2018 | 1748 |
| 26 | 27 | Dayana Yastremska | 1760 | 1740 |
| 27 | 30 | Diana Shnaider | 1690 | 1675 |
| 28 | 28 | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | 1756 | 1657 |
| 29 | 29 | Katie Boulter | 1748 | 1628 |
| 30 | 34 | Karolína Muchová | 1618 | 1618 |
| 31 | 32 | Barbora Krejčíková | 1643 | 1583 |
| 32 | 33 | Elise Mertens | 1629 | 1569 |
| 33 | 31 | Sorana Cîrstea | 1675 | 1555 |
| 34 | 35 | Yulia Putintseva | 1553 | 1526 |
| 35 | 36 | Kateřina Siniaková | 1546 | 1486 |
| 36 | 37 | Veronika Kudermetova | 1488 | 1428 |
| 37 | 40 | Yue Yuan | 1452 | 1422 |
| 38 | 42 | Xinyu Wang | 1411 | 1351 |
| 39 | 38 | Donna Vekić | 1468 | 1348 |
| 40 | 21 | Elina Svitolina | 2100 | 1330 |
| 41 | 41 | Anastasia Potapova | 1415 | 1295 |
| 42 | 46 | Karolína Plíšková | 1255 | 1255 |
| 43 | 39 | Marie Bouzková | 1465 | 1235 |
| 44 | 45 | Clara Burel | 1288 | 1218 |
| 45 | 43 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 1328 | 1198 |
| 46 | 47 | Anhelina Kalinina | 1246 | 1186 |
| 47 | 44 | Magda Linette | 1291 | 1171 |
| 48 | 50 | Sloane Stephens | 1217 | 1157 |
| 49 | 48 | Viktoriya Tomova | 1223 | 1154 |
| 50 | 51 | Caroline Dolehide | 1100 | 1100 |
Cristhián AvilaTennis Journalist
Cristhián Ávila is a tennis journalist based in Santiago, Chile, and has been part of the TennisUpToDate team since early 2023. He covers the ATP and WTA Tours as well as all four Grand Slams, producing breaking news, match reports, analysis, and regular liveblogs from major tournaments.
His reporting combines statistical analysis with clear explanation, helping readers understand tactical developments, player form, and broader storylines across the tour. Working fluently in both Spanish and English, Cristhián collaborates with an international editorial team and contributes to comprehensive global coverage. As part of his work, he has conducted interviews and media interactions with leading figures in the sport, including Caroline Wozniacki and John McEnroe.
In his journalism, Cristhián places strong emphasis on careful sourcing, editorial accuracy, and updating articles promptly when new, verified information becomes available. His coverage is grounded in research, context, and direct engagement with professional tennis.
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