ATP Race Update: Alexander Bublik and Denis Shapovalov big winners of the week, Alcaraz and Sinner unmoved at the top

After Wimbledon, most top players opted for a week of rest before starting the hardcourt swing. It was a week without the presence of players like Jannik Sinner or Carlos Alcaraz, while the ATP 250 tournaments in Los Cabos Open, Bastad Open, and Swiss Open Gstaad 2025 were played. The ATP Race leaders remain comfortable, though the gaps with their pursuers are narrowing.

Players like Denis Shapovalov and Alexander Bublik secured titles this week – and consequently a boost in the ATP Race, which shows no major movements at the very top. Casper Ruud, Andrey Rublev, and Francisco Cerundolo were among others who gained points with deep runs in their respective tournaments.

The ATP Race to Turin exclusively measures points earned in the calendar year – starting from the first week of 2025 season – determining the 8 players who will qualify for the ATP Finals, in addition to year-end rankings, which mean financial prizes based on ranking and a better position for the start of next year.

Much is still at stake in the second half of the year, with the US Open as the main event and 4 Masters 1000 tournaments still ahead. A vital part will be played in the upcoming month: with the Canadian Open and Cincinnati Open Masters, culminating in the US Open towards the end of August.

The top of the ATP Race saw no movement in its upper echelons, with Carlos Alcaraz leading with 7,540 points, a significant distance from Jannik Sinner with 6,000 points. While the Spaniard is already mathematically qualified, the Italian has such a wide gap from the rest that he can also be considered practically qualified. Currently, the cutoff is at 6,458 points, but it will continue to gradually decrease in the coming weeks.

Novak Djokovic (3,380), Alexander Zverev (3,280), and Jack Draper (2,940) form a Top 5 that will hardly miss the ATP Finals, although nothing can be taken for granted yet. In recent years, the ATP Finals qualification cutoff score has been between 3,000 and 3,500 points, making it difficult to see any of them miss out. However, injuries or bad streaks could change things.

The current qualification zone is completed by Lorenzo Musetti (2,610), Taylor Fritz (2,465), and Ben Shelton (2,210). However, the pursuers are closing the gap, with Casper Ruud (2,125) just outside the qualification zone after reaching the quarterfinals in Gstaad. Also Alex De Minaur (2,035) is closing de top-10.

Despite not moving up significantly in the Race, both Andrey Rublev and Francisco Cerundolo closed distances with the top. With the Russian competing in an ATP 500 this week, a semifinal appearance, for example, would put him on the verge of the Top 10, in a hardcourt swing that normally brings him good results. The Argentinian, thanks to consistency, has maintained his position as a Top 20 player, and a deep run in upcoming tournaments could also put him close to the qualification zone. Undoubtedly, these are important points for two players who reached semifinals last week, starting the hardcourt swing with a good result.

For Denis Shapovalov, these were important points for the final part of the year, entering the Top 25 temporarily. Staying within the Top 32 will be key for the former Top 10 player, which would allow him to avoid higher-ranked players in the early rounds of the US Open and some of the remaining Masters 1000 events this year. Meanwhile, Flavio Cobolli clings to the Top 20, tied with Daniil Medvedev for now, and with chances to enter the Top 15 if he advances a couple of rounds in the DC Open.

• Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov

• Nordea Open Bastad: Luciano Darderi

• Swiss Open Gstaad: Alexander Bublik

• Los Cabos Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic

• Nordea Open Bastad: Jesper De Jong

• Swiss Open Gstaad: Juan Manuel Cerundolo