Jack Draper ready to make the Big Three the Big Four according to alternative ranking prior to Indian Wells semi-final
ATP
Jack Draper will face Carlos Alcaraz for a spot in the Indian Wells final on Saturday evening in the match crunch clash between the pair but according to an alternative ranking, he is ready to make the Big Three the Big Four.
The current Big Three a term used to describe Djokovic, Federer and Nadal in years gone by can be termed as the former alongside Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner.
Or for those not wanting to include Djokovic due to his current form, Alexander Zverev is defacto as World Number Two. Draper will move to a new career high of World No.11 come what may next week.
He is currently fourth on what is a more up to date use of rankings by TennisAbstract called ELO which takes into account an estimate of their strength in each match. If a player wins, their rating goes up. If they lose it goes down. It also takes into account multiple variables including quality of opponent.
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Draper reached the final recently in Qatar and also the semi-final last year at the US Open. He is into the semi-final at least at Indian Wells and accrues points due to the strength also of his opposition. This includes two of America's finest players including Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton.
A win over Carlos Alcaraz would take that even higher. Draper sits just outside the current main four and only just. Sinner for instance sits well ahead of 2224.8 compared to 2185.9 of Novak Djokovic which means he has the highest chance currently of winning a match on the tour.
Draper sits fifth just behind Alexander Zverev on 2064.5 for the latter compared to 2035.5. The Brit is also an anomaly on the main rankings as he has spent most of his time at the top having injury breaks so isn't a true barometer of his current form but this alternative ranking is.
The ELO has long been touted as the best barometer of current form and Draper sits fifth.
Tomas Machac for instance who recently won a title is in the top 10. Stefanos Tsitsipas sits just outside the top 10 having won a title himself. Rafael Nadal albeit is still in the ranking despite being retired for over six months but Draper has shown he has the minerals to join the Big Four currently in tennis, can he find a big win tonight to confound those expectations?
ELO Rankings as per TennisAbstract
| Rank | Name | Age | ELO |
| 1 | Jannik Sinner | 23.4 | 2224.8 |
| 2 | Novak Djokovic | 37.7 | 2185.9 |
| 3 | Carlos Alcaraz | 21.7 | 2152.2 |
| 4 | Alexander Zverev | 27.8 | 2064.5 |
| 5 | Jack Draper | 23.1 | 2035.5 |
| 6 | Daniil Medvedev | 29 | 2014 |
| 7 | Grigor Dimitrov | 33.7 | 2011.4 |
| 8 | Tomas Machac | 24.3 | 2006.6 |
| 9 | Taylor Fritz | 27.2 | 2003.8 |
| 10 | Tommy Paul | 27.7 | 1977.6 |
| 11 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 26.5 | 1953.8 |
| 12 | Alex De Minaur | 26 | 1953.4 |
| 13 | Ugo Humbert | 26.6 | 1946 |
| 14 | Matteo Berrettini | 28.8 | 1942.7 |
| 15 | Hubert Hurkacz | 27.9 | 1939.5 |
| 16 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 24.5 | 1933.7 |
| 17 | Casper Ruud | 26.1 | 1932.9 |
| 18 | Holger Rune | 21.8 | 1932.1 |
| 19 | Gael Monfils | 38.4 | 1927.4 |
| 20 | Andrey Rublev | 27.3 | 1921.1 |
| 21 | Jiri Lehecka | 23.2 | 1915.6 |
| 22 | Denis Shapovalov | 25.8 | 1910.4 |
| 23 | Lorenzo Musetti | 22.9 | 1906.6 |
| 24 | Ben Shelton | 22.3 | 1902.7 |
| 25 | Joao Fonseca | 18.4 | 1897.1 |
| 26 | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 28.7 | 1897.1 |
| 27 | Tallon Griekspoor | 28.6 | 1880.2 |
| 28 | Jordan Thompson | 30.7 | 1876.3 |
| 29 | Karen Khachanov | 28.7 | 1872.6 |
| 30 | Sebastian Korda | 24.6 | 1869.1 |
| 31 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 25.7 | 1866.5 |
| 32 | Learner Tien | 19.2 | 1859.7 |
| 33 | Arthur Fils | 20.7 | 1855.7 |
| 34 | Rafael Nadal | 38.4 | 1855.2 |
| 35 | Francisco Cerundolo | 26.5 | 1848.5 |
| 36 | Jakub Mensik | 19.4 | 1844.2 |
| 37 | Alex Michelsen | 20.5 | 1840.7 |
| 38 | Jan Lennard Struff | 34.8 | 1840.5 |
| 39 | Yoshihito Nishioka | 29.3 | 1838.2 |
| 40 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 21.6 | 1837.1 |
| 41 | Marcos Giron | 31.5 | 1834.3 |
| 42 | Frances Tiafoe | 27 | 1827.8 |
| 43 | Juncheng Shang | 19.9 | 1823.4 |
| 44 | Nishesh Basavareddy | 19.8 | 1822.8 |
| 45 | Miomir Kecmanovic | 25.4 | 1817.7 |
| 46 | Zizou Bergs | 25.7 | 1817.2 |
| 47 | Alexei Popyrin | 25.5 | 1816.7 |
| 48 | Hamad Medjedovic | 21.5 | 1816.4 |
| 49 | Flavio Cobolli | 22.8 | 1815.6 |
| 50 | Nuno Borges | 28 | 1811.1 |
| 51 | Matteo Arnaldi | 24 | 1806.6 |
| 52 | Reilly Opelka | 27.4 | 1805.3 |
| 53 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 33.5 | 1801.3 |
| 54 | Jacob Fearnley | 23.5 | 1799.5 |
| 55 | Brandon Nakashima | 23.5 | 1797.8 |
| 56 | Andy Murray | 37 | 1796.8 |
| 57 | Sebastian Baez | 24.1 | 1794.3 |
| 58 | Quentin Halys | 28.3 | 1788.3 |
| 59 | Marton Fucsovics | 33 | 1787.3 |
| 60 | Yibing Wu | 24.9 | 1785.4 |
| 61 | Lorenzo Sonego | 29.7 | 1785.2 |
| 62 | Laslo Djere | 29.7 | 1783.8 |
| 63 | Roman Safiullin | 27.5 | 1783.3 |
| 64 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 36.8 | 1782.7 |
| 65 | Christopher Oconnell | 30.7 | 1779.8 |
| 66 | David Goffin | 34.2 | 1770.7 |
| 67 | Gabriel Diallo | 23.4 | 1769.4 |
| 68 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 25.6 | 1767.6 |
| 69 | Cameron Norrie | 29.5 | 1763.4 |
| 70 | Fabian Marozsan | 25.3 | 1761 |
| 71 | Lucas Pouille | 30.9 | 1760.7 |
| 72 | Kei Nishikori | 35.1 | 1754.5 |
| 73 | Alexandre Muller | 28 | 1753.7 |
| 74 | Benjamin Bonzi | 28.7 | 1747.9 |
| 75 | Jaume Munar | 27.7 | 1747.3 |
| 76 | Zhizhen Zhang | 28.3 | 1742.9 |
| 77 | Marin Cilic | 36.4 | 1740.6 |
| 78 | Nicolas Jarry | 29.3 | 1737.6 |
| 79 | Alexander Bublik | 27.6 | 1734.8 |
| 80 | Kamil Majchrzak | 29.1 | 1734.3 |
| 81 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 25.6 | 1732.8 |
| 82 | Roberto Carballes Baena | 31.9 | 1732.6 |
| 83 | Emil Ruusuvuori | 25.9 | 1729.1 |
| 84 | Aleksandar Vukic | 28.8 | 1728 |
| 85 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 29.3 | 1727.8 |
| 86 | Stan Wawrinka | 39.8 | 1719.3 |
| 87 | Brandon Holt | 26.8 | 1719.3 |
| 88 | Mattia Bellucci | 23.7 | 1718.2 |
| 89 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 29.8 | 1717.4 |
| 90 | Pedro Martinez | 27.8 | 1709.1 |
| 91 | Arthur Cazaux | 22.5 | 1708.1 |
| 92 | Raphael Collignon | 23.1 | 1706.9 |
| 93 | Fabio Fognini | 37.4 | 1706.8 |
| 94 | Alejandro Tabilo | 27.7 | 1702 |
| 95 | Borna Coric | 28.2 | 1701.7 |
| 96 | Soon Woo Kwon | 27.1 | 1701.2 |
| 97 | Borna Gojo | 26.9 | 1701 |
| 98 | Dominik Koepfer | 30.7 | 1700.9 |
| 99 | Max Purcell | 26.3 | 1700.5 |
| 100 | Sebastian Ofner | 28.2 | 1699.4 |
Samuel GillEditor-in-Chief
Samuel Gill is the Chief Content Officer (CCO) of TennisUpToDate.com, a role he has held since 2020. He is responsible for editorial governance across the platform, including setting content standards, overseeing accuracy and consistency, and guiding long-term editorial strategy. Since joining, he has contributed more than 10,000 articles and editorial pieces across the TennisUpToDate network, playing a central role in the daily operation and development of the site.
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