Toni Nadal doubts Djokovic’s chances of another Grand Slam

Sunday, 19 April 2026 at 09:38

Novak Djokovic and Casper Ruud smilling after the 2023 French Open final.

Toni Nadal frames Novak Djokovic’s current position through a clear limitation, stating early that the Serbian can still “play at a very high level” but no longer sustain it across the duration required to win at the highest level. His analysis is tied directly to match conditions rather than abstract decline.

“I find it difficult for him to win another Grand Slam. He beat Sinner in Australia, but not Alcaraz in the final," he said to Mundo Deportivo. "I think Sinner didn’t have a very good day, he didn’t have a great tournament. Djokovic, who is exceptional, knew how to take advantage of it. In the final he played an incredible first set, but he cannot maintain that rhythm for two hours against Alcaraz.”

The reference point is explicit. Carlos Alcaraz is used as the benchmark for sustained level, particularly in matches that extend physically and tactically. Nadal’s evaluation centres on duration rather than peak output, separating isolated performance from repeatable dominance.

“He can still play at a very high level, but the problem is maintaining it. Against players like Alcaraz, it’s not enough to play well for a set or a moment. You have to keep that level for a long time, and that’s where I see the difficulty.”

Alcaraz as benchmark and structural advantage

Within that context, Nadal identifies Carlos Alcaraz as the central reference point on the current tour, highlighting the limited number of players capable of challenging him consistently across surfaces.

“He could do it because I see very few players capable of beating him.," Nadal said about the world No. 1's chances. "Sinner is capable, but at Roland Garros Alcaraz has more chances, 60–40. At Wimbledon he is the favourite and at the US Open as well. It is possible that he does it, it is not easy.”

Next generation: comparison with Djokovic and Del Potro

Toni Nadal’s assessment of emerging players is built on direct comparison with previous generations, particularly how quickly elite potential becomes visible. His evaluation of Joao Fonseca reflects that benchmark.

“I saw his match in Miami and, honestly, I didn’t get the feeling I was watching a truly great player," the Spaniard coach said. "He’s a very good player, but I don’t see him at that level.”

Read also

The comparison becomes more explicit when he reflects on early impressions of established champions, drawing a contrast with what he currently observes. “I remember with Rafael, when we first saw Djokovic. I already knew he would be number one. I saw Del Potro, we trained with him when he was 18, and you could see very quickly he would be top 10. Roger Federer himself realised very early that Rafael would end up beating him. I don’t see the same with Fonseca or Mensik.”

That historical reference reinforces the gap Nadal identifies between the current leading generation and those emerging behind them, not only in results but in the immediacy of their ceiling. Nadal extends that conclusion directly to Carlos Alcaraz’s position at the top of the tour. “I don’t see any young player capable of surpassing him. If he continues like he has until now, he will have many chances to keep winning.”

Read also

Cristhián AvilaTennis Journalist

Cristhián Ávila is a tennis journalist based in Santiago, Chile, and has been part of the TennisUpToDate team since early 2023. He covers the ATP and WTA Tours as well as all four Grand Slams, producing breaking news, match reports, analysis, and regular liveblogs from major tournaments.

His reporting combines statistical analysis with clear explanation, helping readers understand tactical developments, player form, and broader storylines across the tour. Working fluently in both Spanish and English, Cristhián collaborates with an international editorial team and contributes to comprehensive global coverage. As part of his work, he has conducted interviews and media interactions with leading figures in the sport, including Caroline Wozniacki and John McEnroe.

In his journalism, Cristhián places strong emphasis on careful sourcing, editorial accuracy, and updating articles promptly when new, verified information becomes available. His coverage is grounded in research, context, and direct engagement with professional tennis.

See author's posts

claps 0visitors 0

(VIDEO) ‘Sabadosa’ on show as Sabalenka jokes with Badosa in Madrid

"I feel sorry for her and I hope she’s going to get out of it": Karolina Muchova in touch with Marketa Vondrousova amid doping charge