WTA Australian Open semi-finals Round-up | Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina produce the goods to set up final showdown
WTA
The 2026 WTA Australian Open final has been confirmed, with
it set to be a repeat of the most recent WTA Finals. Aryna Sabalenka and Elena
Rybakina both concocted brilliant showings in their semi-final clashes to set
up an eagerly anticipated showdown.
Sabalenka was first on court against Elina Svitolina, with
both players yet to lose a match in 2026. One of the records had to be broken,
and it was Svitolina who could not cope with the world number one, who is
through to a fourth consecutive final in this event. This was followed by Rybakina
getting the job done against Jessica Pegula in another very commendable
performance, even if the ending was very tense and nerve-wracking. The final is set to be played on Saturday, 31st January, with it a carbon copy of the 2023 final at Melbourne Park.
Sabalenka continues to dominate Down Under
Sabalenka brought a very high level to her match, which is
what is expected from a world number one and two-time winner at Melbourne Park.
She was too strong for Svitolina, who just could not cope with the power and relentlessness
from her opponent. Sabalenka would go on to confirm her spot in a fourth consecutive
Australian Open final with a 6-2, 6-3 triumph.
She showcased why she is so dominant in this part of the
world, unearthing the great form that saw her reach those other finals, with
her desperate to clinch her title back after she lost out last year to Madison
Keys. For Svitolina, she was looking for a maiden major final appearance, while
also competing in a fourth Grand Slam semi-final.
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Svitolina would need to take every chance she could get, and
this was showcased in the first game of the match where she failed to take two
break points. In the fourth game, Sabalenka got the break of serve needed to
accelerate into a 3-1 lead, leaving the Ukrainian to rue her missed chances.
Sabalenka kept her opponent at arm’s length, and in the end, wrapped up the first set with a break of serve, not waiting for the chance to
serve it out as she sailed into a 1-0 lead.
The signs were looking good, but fortunes changed when a
more frustrated looking Sabalenka found herself 2-0 down after being broken in
the first game. Unlike the first set, Svitolina took her chance and was now looking
at a pathway back into the match.
Sabalenka recovered the break deficit, which was the first
of five consecutive games which really was the nail on the coffin for Svitolina’s
Australian Open dreams. A couple of breaks put her 4-2 up, before the
31-year-old squandered a solitary chance to get the set back on serve. Sabalenka
would go 5-2 in front before Svitolina ended the barren spell, but it was
ultimately nowhere near enough as Sabalenka culminated a complete performance in
domineering fashion, earning her spot in another final.
Match Statistics Sabalenka vs. Svitolina
| Sabalenka | VS | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Service | ||
| 0 | Aces | 2 |
| 1 | Double Faults | 3 |
| 67% (36/54) | 1st Service Percentage | 56% (32/57) |
| 69% (25/36) | 1st Service Points Won | 56% (18/32) |
| 67% (12/18) | 2nd Service Points Won | 44% (11/25) |
| 75% (3/4) | Break Points Saved | 43% (3/7) |
| 89% (8/9) | Service Games | 50% (4/8) |
| Return | ||
| 44% (14/32) | 1st Return Points Won | 31% (11/36) |
| 56% (14/25) | 2nd Return Points Won | 33% (6/18) |
Sketchy ending, but Rybakina squeezes past Pegula
The positive form for Rybakina continues as she produces the
goods in a very commanding showing on Rod Laver Arena against Jessica Pegula,
with the Kazakh booking her spot in the final with a 6-3, 7-6(7).
The momentum was fully on the Rybakina side of the court
right from the off. She held to love before what turned out to be a very
crucial break of serve to race into a 2-0 lead. Pegula got her first game on
the board, but it was followed by a hold to love from Rybakina, continuing her
ominous start.
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There was a lot of discourse from the players boxes, as the
coaches looked to feed much-needed information to their players. It looked like
it was doing more good for Rybakina than Pegula, who had a couple of break
points to go 5-1 ahead. The American fought back and avoided more misery. She
needed to start making inroads on the Rybakina serve to get back into the match.
This task would not be completed with the 26-year-old’s serve working very
well. This aided her in seeing out the first set and moving closer to a rematch
against Sabalenka in Melbourne.
It looked even more likely when Rybakina broke to move 2-1
ahead. It was a huge blow for the former US Open finalist, who was starting to find
some rhythm on court. However, this time she was able to fight her way back
into it, breaking instantly to get affairs back level.
It was a golden chance for her to turn the momentum in her
favour, but this would not be the case as Rybakina took the reigns once more as
a third break on the trot saw her creep back in front, to the dismay of her
opponent. This time, Pegula was unable to get back level as Rybakina ended the
run of breaks as she led 4-2.
Two holds each saw Rybakina move within one of the match.
She almost got it done on the Pegula serve, wasting three match points as
Pegula continued to fightback, eventually holding to force Rybakina to serve it
out. It looked like she was going to get the job done, but in the nick of time
Pegula manages to find a break to keep herself in the match.
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Her delight would turn to frustration as she hit her racket
on the court after falling a break behind once more. It was a perfect response
from the WTA Finals champion, who was hoping not to make the same mistake as of
two games ago. This almost occurred when Pegula found herself ahead twice in
the game, taking the second opportunity to punish a more tense Rybakina to
force a tiebreak.
A couple of costly errors see Pegula fall 3-2 behind, and
4-2 in the favour of Rybakina at the changeover. Pegula gathered her thoughts
and won three points in a row to move ahead 5-4. A big first serve brought the
tiebreak all square, but onwards from that Pegula would sneak ahead on two
occasions to create a brace of set points. These were not taken, with the score
at 7-7. An emphatic ace offered a fourth match winning opportunity for Rybakina,
with a huge backhand down the line to finally wrap up the match and confirm her
spot in the final.
Match Statistics Pegula vs. Rybakina
| Pegula | VS | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Service | ||
| 2 | Aces | 6 |
| 0 | Double Faults | 0 |
| 66% (50/76) | 1st Service Percentage | 55% (40/73) |
| 62% (31/50) | 1st Service Points Won | 73% (29/40) |
| 37% (10/27) | 2nd Service Points Won | 48% (16/33) |
| 60% (6/10) | Break Points Saved | 25% (1/4) |
| 60% (6/10) | Service Games | 73% (8/11) |
| Return | ||
| 28% (11/40) | 1st Return Points Won | 38% (19/50) |
| 52% (17/33) | 2nd Return Points Won | 63% (17/27) |

Lucas MichaelTennis Journalist
Lucas Michael is a tennis journalist based in Cambridge, UK, specializing in comprehensive coverage of the ATP and WTA tours. For the past 1.5 years, he has been a core contributor to TennisUpToDate, where he has authored more than 3,000 data-driven match reports, deep-dive analysis pieces, and engaging liveblogs.
Lucas pairs real-time statistical analysis with on-the-ground reporting, frequently traveling to tournaments to cover the action firsthand from the press box and player press conferences. This blend of advanced metrics and direct access allows him to provide sharp context regarding player form, tactical trends, and breaking tour developments.
He holds a BA (Hons) in Sports Journalism. Grounded in core journalistic ethics, Lucas places a strict emphasis on meticulous sourcing, editorial accuracy, and a commitment to updating live content swiftly as verified information emerges.
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- I, like writer of this wonderful article, also picked Noskova to win this entire thing. I would love it if she and Andreeva are in the final.Rapunzel12-11-2026
- "Priorities", Saba... spend less time in front of cameras, anti-Social Media, selfies and back to Tennis.
mandoist12-11-2026 - Tell this to Andreeva!
mandoist12-11-2026 - Andreeva with 11 games in a row to add to Saba's downward spiral issue !!! Personal feelings aside... Jess Pegula may want to reassess her evaluation of Mirra's abilities.
mandoist12-11-2026 - I predicted whenthe list was finalised that Linda Noskova would win the WTA Finals and her matches against Gauff and Kostyuk prove that. She is the best (underrated) player in the world!Rapunzel11-11-2026
- Either Lena has a chronic internal ailment (i.e., colitis, enteritis, Crohn's, or some type of lower abdomen issue) -- or she is once again dealing with 'Vukovitis'. Mental stress can indeed cause lower body pains. No matter... whatever is truly going on sucks. "Virus" excuse is getting a bit old -- and often -- at this point.
mandoist09-11-2026 - Ironically, Martina became a U.S. Citizen about the same time as the Orange Convicted Felon & Abuser was just beginning on his road to losing all Daddy's Millions!!
mandoist09-11-2026 - "Another fresh start is in the cards." Thanks for the Humor!! I'm guessing this is the minimum one can do to keep all your sponsors hanging-on in perpetuity?
mandoist09-11-2026 - Vukov is doing this to Lena... AGAIN!!!!! WTA's autonomous collective should be dismantled for allowing Vukov to re-emerge from his hand-slapping suspension. Just ask WTA employees how that's been going lately as they witness his continued verbal abuses. Women's Pro Tennis should start over.
mandoist08-11-2026 - Can't help but suspect Vukov is back to his old self again. Thank you, WTA. Perhaps you can give them a "Battling Couple of the Year Award 2026" ??
mandoist08-11-2026









