The second WTA 1000 of the season now reaches its semifinals, with the matchups at the
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships. This Friday the finalists will be decided in the last tournament of the Middle East swing, which is seeking a new champion following the
elimination of Mirra Andreeva – and all the remaining contenders are top-10 players.
They will be special semifinals, with the presence of the top-3 Americans:
Coco Gauff,
Amanda Anisimova and
Jessica Pegula, all fulfilling their responsibility in the draw to advance rounds and place themselves among the final four. The only non-American is the Ukrainian
Elina Svitolina – who has the most WTA 1000 titles among them (four), and is also the only former champion in Dubai.
Pegula holds 4-0 edge over Anisimova: Can Dubai flip the script
Second seed Amanda Anisimova arrived in Dubai recovering from an unexpected early exit at the Qatar Open – where she was the defending champion but had to retire due to physical discomfort in the middle of her first-round match. However, there are no concerns regarding the level of the world No. 4, who this week benefited from the retirement of Barbora Krejcikova in her debut and then consecutively defeated Janice Tjen (6-1, 6-3) and defending champion Mirra Andreeva (2-6, 7-5, 7-6).
Anisimova reaches the semifinals having played only two full matches – although the battle against Andreeva made clear that she does not need more competitive rhythm to show a high level. The two-time WTA 1000 champion seeks her fourth final in the category, although she will have a tough rival in Pegula (fourth seed), who precisely ended her dreams a few weeks ago at the
Australian Open.
Pegula continues to be a guarantee of consistency and this week once again has made headlines. After her debut against Varvara Gracheva (6-4, 6-0), she gave a lesson to teenager Iva Jovic (6-4, 6-2) and later eliminated the 2025 runner-up Clara Tauson in a tight three-set battle (6-3, 2-6, 6-4). Pegula’s experience places her as one of the rivals most capable of complicating things for Anisimova.
The 32-year-old is among those who best know how to deal with big hitters (such as Anisimova, Aryna Sabalenka or Elena Rybakina) and in her previous tournament - Aussie Open - she precisely defeated Anisimova in the quarterfinals (6-2, 7-6).
At the moment the head-to-head is favorable to Pegula by a commanding 4-0, including the final of the Canadian Open 2024 – the first WTA 1000 final in Anisimova’s career – and this year in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open. The winner will have interesting implications, as she will secure a guaranteed place in the top-5 (the loser will be No. 6), in addition to remaining – for now – as American No. 2, only behind Coco Gauff – who, regardless of what happens, will continue to be the leader after the end of the tournament.
From Melbourne revenge to Dubai stakes: Gauff meets Svitolina again
Precisely Coco Gauff (third seed) will be the third American who remains in the competition and who seeks a new WTA 1000 final (she currently has seven finals in the category, winning three titles). The two-time Grand Slam champion defeated Anna Kalinskaya (6-4, 6-4) in her debut, then saved three match points this week against Elise Mertens (2-6, 7-6, 6-3), and in the quarterfinals swept Alexandra Eala (6-0, 6-2).
Double faults continue to be a problem for Gauff – with a total of 36 in just the three matches she has played. While the victory over Eala is revitalizing in terms of confidence – showing that she is one step ahead of her rival’s level – against an experienced player like Svitolina (No. 9), service problems could weigh much more heavily, especially with the final around the corner and an opponent who will not be intimidated by the semifinal stage nor by facing Gauff.
And Svitolina once again showed this week that she fully deserves her place in the top-10. In her debut she defeated Paula Badosa – who
retired due to injury after only one set was played – then came from a set down to beat Belinda Bencic, while in the quarterfinals she once again had to work to come back from a set down against Antonia Ruzic.
At 31 years old, Svitolina continues to show that resilience is one of her strengths, with the ability to come out of adverse moments and raise her level in pressure points. Against a rival who has been erratic on serve, opportunities will come for Svitolina, who appears to have good chances of advancing if she keeps a cool head in the important moments.
They have already faced each other four times – with a 2-2 head-to-head and the most recent one in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open. On that occasion, Svitolina took revenge for her previous two consecutive defeats against Gauff and earned an emphatic 6-1, 6-2 victory to reach the semifinals.
The Ukrainian exposed Gauff’s weaknesses, constantly attacking Gauff’s second serves, positioning herself close to the baseline to take the ball early and always trying to put the ball in play – which consistently led to unforced errors from the American. Svitolina cannot be ruled out as a contender on this occasion, considering that she is a champion of four WTA 1000 titles, including Dubai 2017.