Rafael Nadal would not have a guaranteed spot in the 2024 Olympic Games due to the drop in ranking he will experience after his prolonged absence from the circuit.
The Spanish player recently announced that he would not be participating in the French Open, a tournament he has won 14 times and has competed in for 17 consecutive years. Nadal stated that he will be taking an indefinite break from the courts this year and hopes to play his final season in 2024, if his physical issues allow him to do so.
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Rafael Nadal will fall in the rankings after the conclusion of Roland Garros and will drop out of the top 100, which may prevent him from defending points for the remainder of the year, further exacerbating his ranking decline. The 22-time Grand Slam champion mentioned that he will seek to bid farewell in his favorite tournaments and will be able to use his protected ranking to enter those events. If not, most tournaments would likely not hesitate to grant a Wild Card to the tennis legend.
However, in Paris, the rules are different as set by the ATP, and to participate, one must be among the top 56 players in the ranking. Additionally, each country can send a maximum of four representatives, so the gold medalist from Beijing 2008 would face tough competition from his compatriots who have achieved good results, such as Carlos Alcaraz, Pablo Carreño Busta, Roberto Bautista Agut, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, and Bernabé Zapata Miralles, all of whom are currently ranked within the top 40.
Nevertheless, the organizers in Paris could grant a wildcard based on his past merits. Considering his two gold medals (Singles in 2008 and doubles alongside Marc Lopez in Rio 2016) and his accomplishments in his successful career, it may allow his entry, although he would need to be ranked among the top 300 players.