Paris Masters projected Quarterfinals : Sinner and Alcaraz lead the charge amid Djokovic absence

The main draw for the Paris Masters has been set with Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz as the top favorites in a draw featuring nearly all top-20 players, with the only exception being Novak Djokovic, who recently announced his withdrawal.

Without the 24-time Grand Slam champion, the main beneficiary is Daniil Medvedev, now seeded 4th, who avoids a clash with Sinner, Alcaraz, or Zverev at least until the semifinals. Below are the projected quarters.

First Quarter

Led by world No. 1 Jannik Sinner, this quarter appears to feature several potential surprises in terms of competitors. The Italian has been nearly unbeatable all season, boasting seven titles and a significant points lead over No. 2 Alcaraz. However, he faces a challenging opening match against the winner of Ben Shelton and Felix Auger-Aliassime.

If Sinner advances, he could face a potential showdown with Holger Rune (13th seed), though Matteo Arnaldi or Alexander Bublik also have the potential to progress and challenge him. The second-highest seed in this quarter is Taylor Fritz. The US Open runner-up awaits the winner of Jack Draper and Jiri Lehecka, with Alex De Minaur also posing a notable threat.

• Projected Quarter: Jannik Sinner (1) – Taylor Fritz (5)
• Possible Surprises: Ben Shelton, Jack Draper, Alex De Minaur

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Second Quarter

World No. 3 Alexander Zverev is the favorite in this portion of the draw, facing opponents on paper with fewer credentials than those in the first quarter. He’ll debut against either Luciano Darderi or Tallon Griekspoor and could potentially face Lorenzo Musetti (16th) or Arthur Fils in later rounds.

Andrey Rublev leads the bottom half of this quarter, with a potential debut against Francisco Cerundolo and a possible Round of 16 clash with Stefanos Tsitsipas. The Russian is a strong favorite to reach the quarterfinals.

• Projected Quarter: Alexander Zverev – Andrey Rublev
• Possible Surprises: Arthur Fils, Lorenzo Musetti, Stefanos Tsitsipas

Alexander Zverev at 2024 US Open.

Third Quarter

Daniil Medvedev and Grigor Dimitrov are the top seeds here. Medvedev will start against the winner of Matteo Berrettini and Alexei Popyrin, both of whom could pose challenges for the former world No. 1, although the Russian’s consistency should still make him the favorite.

For Dimitrov, a potential matchup with Tomas Martin Etcheverry or Zhizhen Zhang awaits. Hubert Hurkacz could also come through in this quarter; while not in top form, Paris might be the ideal setting for a resurgence, especially if his powerful serve is on display.

• Projected Quarter: Daniil Medvedev – Grigor Dimitrov
• Possible Surprises: Hubert Hurkacz, Frances Tiafoe, Matteo Berrettini, Karen Khachanov

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Fourth Quarter

Carlos Alcaraz appears to have received a favorable draw. He awaits an inconsistent Nicolas Jarry, who, since reaching the final at the Rome Open, has only won two of his last twelve matches. Nonetheless, the Chilean has beaten Alcaraz before, and if inspired, he could be a tricky opening-round opponent. Later rounds could see him face either Ugo Humbert or Brandon Nakashima.

On the other side, Casper Ruud is the top-ranked player, though his recent lack of form makes it challenging to predict whether he’ll make the quarterfinals. Possible clashes with Jordan Thompson and then Tommy Paul present substantial tests for the Norwegian as he seeks to regain his form.

• Projected Quarter: Carlos Alcaraz – Casper Ruud
• Possible Surprises: Tommy Paul, Brandon Nakashima, Ugo Humbert

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Here are the projected quarter-finals of the #RolexParisMasters ↘️

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