After a
challenging year,
Sebastian Korda finds himself in an ATP final again and will
face
Adrian Mannarino in the title match at the Astana Open.
Route to
the Final – Sebastian Korda:
Following a
tough year, Sebastian Korda (25th) had a lengthy three-month absence due to an
injury suffered in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open, just two weeks
after reaching the final of the Adelaide Open.
While he
has been inconsistent since his return, this week he showed that he is on the
right track, advancing through a challenging path in Astana. He secured
victories over Alexei Popyrin, Nuno Borges, Tallon Griekspoor, and Hamad
Medjedovic.
In the
semifinals, he survived a tight three-set battle where Medjedovic pushed Korda
to the limit. Korda eventually clinched the victory with a score of 6-7(8),
7-6(2), 7-6(3). This marks Korda's sixth final on the Tour, with one title and
five runner-up finishes. It presents a new opportunity for him to lift a
trophy, the first since the 2021 Parma Open.
Route to
the Final – Adrian Mannarino:
Experienced
Mannarino continues to have a strong season, having already won one title and
reached a final. He has also maintained a position above the top 40 for the
past few months.
The
Frenchman lost only one set on his way to the final, defeating Arthur
Rinderknech, Alibek Kachmazov, Jurij Rodionov, and Sebastian Ofner. Mannarino,
at 35 years old, is playing in his 14th career final, with three titles and ten
runner-up finishes. He particularly excelled on grass this year, claiming the
Newport Open title and finishing as the runner-up in the Mallorca Open against
Christopher Eubanks.
Head to
Head – Korda vs. Mannarino
The Astana
final will feature an unprecedented clash, as contenders Korda and Mannarino
have never faced each other in a match. However, they arrive with notable
differences in court time.
Korda
played three of his four matches that went to three sets and encountered six
tie-breaks so far, winning four of them. The North American logged a total of
eight hours and 51 minutes on the court in the last four days, with nearly
three hours spent in the semifinals.
On the
other hand, Mannarino played for 7 hours and 9 minutes, and his last match
lasted only one hour and 10 minutes, which is less than half of Korda's match.
Nevertheless,
Korda has shown physical strength and comfort on hard courts. If he maintains
his physical condition, the outcome of the match may depend on the performance
of the young American, while Mannarino will rely on his strong serve.
Prediction –
Korda in three sets