ANALYSIS: Is Elena Rybakina the player to fear in the women's Wimbledon draw after seed armageddon

WTA
Friday, 04 July 2025 at 12:30
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Steely, poised and a player who has a point to prove. Elena Rybakina won Wimbledon two years ago and ascended to the top of the game but since then it has been a rougher road. Issues with her coach Stefano Vukov, illness and indifferent form but is she now the player to fear again at SW19.
The answer is likely. Rybakina is the standout player left in the eyes of Martina Navratilova for instance after the Kazakh barraged past Maria Sakkari. The Greek did little wrong in the second set but neither did Rybakina who showed her fell repertoire on Court 1.
While the chatter obviously will be about Vukov who is still banned from the tour and Rybakina is still known to be seeking his advice and training at non WTA approved facilities in between tournaments, but a Rybakina who is fit and healthy is a dangerous one as she has proven before.

A look into her draw

Rybakina sits in the bottom section and only likely has the issue of her Quarter-Final perhaps being tricky up until the final. She faces Clara Tauson who took down Anna Kalinskaya last round to set up the tie with the 11th seed.
Following that, it could be Iga Swiatek which on paper is a big tie but Swiatek is not the player Rybakina is on grass and is still trying to find her best on the surface. So perhaps Rybakina would relish that, more so than maybe Danielle Collins who will look to shock Swiatek again.
The issues could be the next tie as Daria Kasatkina or Liudmila Samsonova are the likely opponent in the Quarter-Finals. Not exactly tough if you are looking from the outside and thinking it could be Swiatek into Kasatkina for instance. But the Aussie is a formidable grass player so it could be some tie. The same can be said for Liudmila Samsonova who has had rich success in pre Wimbledon tournaments in the past so can certainly play on the surface.
But it is a section widely opened up due to the demise of a certain Coco Gauff as well as just above due to the seeds around them also falling. Aryna Sabalenka will be favourite to reach the semi-finals but also faces a bit of a rough potential run-in. After Raducanu, it could be Elina Svitolina who has form for great Wimbledon runs. Even if it is not, it could be Elise Mertens. Also great on grass.
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Is Amanda Anisimova the one to benefit from Sabalenka's section?
Madison Keys also stands out as a likely Quarter-Final opponent for any of those three realistically. She faces Laura Siegemund then potentially Cristina Bucsa for a Quarter-Final spot. If Sabalenka can get through it, Amanda Anisimova who has been superb this tournament is the standout that could await. She potentially faces Linda Noskova in the Last 16.
Then it is any one of Diane Parry/Sonay Kartal or Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova or Naomi Osaka so you like her odds to register a potential tie with either Sabalenka or Keys/ any one who shocks either of those names either.
The likely route for Rybakina's section is potentially Mirra Andreeva or Emma Navarro who will potentially face off next. Navarro has to get past Barbora Krejcikova, while Andreeva faces Hailey Baptiste.
Ekaterina Alexandrova or Belinda Bencic potentially looms as an opponent for Andreeva/Navarro who would then face the winner of the bottom section so with Gauff in particular falling Rybakina will fancy her chances.
Navratilova has hyped her up as a potential winner even before the tournament comparing her to Lindsay Davenport game wise and given she has experience winning this and is one of only a few left in the field with real grass court resolve, she continues to fly under the radar but she won't for much longer.

Draw as of Last 32 - Wimbledon 2025

Draw Wimbledon

R128
Aryna Sabalenka (1)
6 7
Carson Branstine (Q)
1 5
Lulu Sun
4 4
Marie Bouzková
6 6
Emma Raducanu
6 6
Mingge Xu (WC)
3 3
Markéta Vondroušová
6 7 3
Mccartney Kessler (32)
1 6 3
Elise Mertens (24)
6 6
Linda Fruhvirtová (Q)
4 2
Ann Li
6 4 6
Viktorija Golubic
3 6 1
Varvara Gracheva
4 7 5 6 8
Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Q)
6 6 5 7 8
Anna Bondár
3 1
Elina Svitolina (14)
6 6
Paula Badosa (9)
2 6 4
Katie Boulter
6 3 6
Solana Sierra (LL)
6 7 8
Olivia Gadecki
2 6 8
Anca Todoni
4 4
Cristina Bucșa
6 6
Kimberly Birrell
0 4
Donna Vekić (22)
6 6
Leylah Fernandez (29)
6 6
Hannah Klugman (WC)
1 3
Peyton Stearns
4 2
Laura Siegemund
6 6
Olga Danilović
6 6
Shuai Zhang (Q)
2 4
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
7 4 5 5
Madison Keys (6)
6 4 7 7
Jasmine Paolini (4)
2 6 6
Anastasija Sevastova
6 3 2
Kamilla Rakhimova
5 6 6
Aoi Ito
7 3 2
Eva Lys
6 5 6
Yue Yuan
4 7 2
Bernarda Pera
2 4
Linda Nosková (30)
6 6
Beatriz Haddad Maia (21)
7 7 6
Rebecca Šramková
6 7 4
Harriet Dart (WC)
6 3 5
Dalma Gálfi
3 6 7
Yanina Wickmayer
0 3
Renata Zarazúa
6 6
Yulia Putintseva
0 0
Amanda Anisimova (13)
6 6
Diana Shnaider (12)
7 5 6
Moyuka Uchijima
6 5 3
Diane Parry (Q)
4 6 6
Petra Martić (Q)
6 3 2
Viktoriya Tomova
7 5 2 Ret.
Ons Jabeur
6 5 0 Ret.
Sonay Kartal
7 2 6
Jeļena Ostapenko (20)
5 6 2
Ashlyn Krueger (31)
6 6
Mika Stojsavljevic (WC)
3 2
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
4 6 6
Ajla Tomljanović
6 3 2
Naomi Osaka
6 7 4
Talia Gibson (Q)
4 6 4
Kateřina Siniaková
7 4 6
Qinwen Zheng (5)
5 6 1
Mirra Andreeva (7)
6 6
Mayar Sherif
3 3
Jil Teichmann
4 5
Lucia Bronzetti
6 7
Hailey Baptiste
6 0 6 6
Sorana Cîrstea
7 0 1 2
Victoria Mboko (LL)
6 6
Magdalena Fręch (25)
3 2
Barbora Krejčíková (17)
3 6 6
Alexandra Eala
6 2 1
Caroline Dolehide
6 6
Arantxa Rus
2 2
Veronika Kudermetova
6 6
Lin Zhu
3 2
Petra Kvitová (WC)
3 1
Emma Navarro (10)
6 6
Karolína Muchová (15)
5 2
Xinyu Wang
7 6
Zeynep Sönmez
7 3 6
Jaqueline Cristian
6 3 3
Suzan Lamens
6 6
Iva Jovic (Q)
1 1
Priscilla Hon (Q)
2 5
Ekaterina Alexandrova (18)
6 7
Magda Linette (27)
7 7 1 4
Elsa Jacquemot (Q)
6 7 6 6
Alycia Parks
0 3
Belinda Bencic
6 6
Katie Volynets
3 7 4 6
Tatjana Maria
6 6 4 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
6 6
Jessica Pegula (3)
2 3
Iga Świątek (8)
7 6
Polina Kudermetova
5 1
Caty McNally
6 6
Jodie Burrage (WC)
3 1
Camila Osorio
3 2
Danielle Collins
6 6
Veronika Erjavec (Q)
3 6 6
Marta Kostyuk (26)
6 3 4
Clara Tauson (23)
2 6 6
Heather Watson (WC)
6 4 3
Anna Kalinskaya
6 7 4
Nina Stojanović (Q)
3 6 4
Maria Sakkari
6 6
Anna Blinkova
4 4
Elina Avanesyan
2 1
Elena Rybakina (11)
6 6
Daria Kasatkina (16)
7 6
Emiliana Arango
5 3
Irina-Camelia Begu
7 6 1 6
Kaja Juvan (Q)
6 6 6 3
Yulia Starodubtseva
1 6 6
Francesca Jones (WC)
6 3 1
Maya Joint
3 2
Ludmilla Samsonova (19)
6 6
Sofia Kenin (28)
7 5 6
Taylor Townsend (Q)
6 5 2
Jéssica Bouzas Maneiro
6 3 Ret.
Ella Seidel (Q)
3 2 Ret.
Victoria Azarenka
2 6 1
Anastasia Zakharova (Q)
6 2 6
Dayana Yastremska
7 3 6
Coco Gauff (2)
6 3 1
R64
Aryna Sabalenka (1)
7 4 6
Marie Bouzková
6 4 4
Emma Raducanu
6 6
Markéta Vondroušová
3 3
Elise Mertens (24)
6 5 6 6
Ann Li
7 5 1 2
Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Q)
2 4
Elina Svitolina (14)
6 6
Katie Boulter
7 7 2 1
Solana Sierra (LL)
6 7 6 6
Cristina Bucșa
6 6
Donna Vekić (22)
1 3
Leylah Fernandez (29)
2 3
Laura Siegemund
6 6
Olga Danilović
4 2
Madison Keys (6)
6 6
Jasmine Paolini (4)
6 4 4
Kamilla Rakhimova
4 6 6
Eva Lys
2 6 3
Linda Nosková (30)
6 2 6
Beatriz Haddad Maia (21)
6 7 1
Dalma Gálfi
7 7 6
Renata Zarazúa
4 3
Amanda Anisimova (13)
6 6
Diana Shnaider (12)
4 1
Diane Parry (Q)
6 6
Viktoriya Tomova
2 2
Sonay Kartal
6 6
Ashlyn Krueger (31)
6 4 4
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
7 4 6
Naomi Osaka
6 6
Kateřina Siniaková
3 2
Mirra Andreeva (7)
6 7 4
Lucia Bronzetti
1 6 4
Hailey Baptiste
7 6 6
Victoria Mboko (LL)
6 6 3
Barbora Krejčíková (17)
6 3 6
Caroline Dolehide
4 6 2
Veronika Kudermetova
1 2
Emma Navarro (10)
6 6
Xinyu Wang
5 5
Zeynep Sönmez
7 7
Suzan Lamens
4 0
Ekaterina Alexandrova (18)
6 6
Elsa Jacquemot (Q)
6 1 2
Belinda Bencic
4 6 6
Katie Volynets
0 4
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
6 6
Iga Świątek (8)
5 6 6
Caty McNally
7 2 1
Danielle Collins
6 6
Veronika Erjavec (Q)
4 1
Clara Tauson (23)
6 7 10
Anna Kalinskaya
3 6 10
Maria Sakkari
3 1
Elena Rybakina (11)
6 6
Daria Kasatkina (16)
6 4 6
Irina-Camelia Begu
2 6 1
Yulia Starodubtseva
2 1
Ludmilla Samsonova (19)
6 6
Sofia Kenin (28)
1 6 4
Jéssica Bouzas Maneiro
6 7 4
Anastasia Zakharova (Q)
7 5 6 8
Dayana Yastremska
5 7 7 8
R32
Aryna Sabalenka (1)
Emma Raducanu
Elise Mertens (24)
Elina Svitolina (14)
Solana Sierra (LL)
Cristina Bucșa
Laura Siegemund
Madison Keys (6)
Kamilla Rakhimova
Linda Nosková (30)
Dalma Gálfi
Amanda Anisimova (13)
Diane Parry (Q)
Sonay Kartal
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Naomi Osaka
Mirra Andreeva (7)
Hailey Baptiste
Barbora Krejčíková (17)
Emma Navarro (10)
Zeynep Sönmez
Ekaterina Alexandrova (18)
Belinda Bencic
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Iga Świątek (8)
Danielle Collins
Clara Tauson (23)
Elena Rybakina (11)
Daria Kasatkina (16)
Ludmilla Samsonova (19)
Jéssica Bouzas Maneiro
Dayana Yastremska
R16
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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