Aryna
Sabalenka remains the leader in the WTA Race but will face a tough challenge to
maintain it with the start of
Indian Wells. The Belarusian will have a mountain
to climb with the Sunshine Double, where she will have two WTA 1000 events in
March, adding
Miami Open after the conclusion of IW.
The 2-times
Australian Open champion leads largely due to the title in Melbourne, which
earned her 2,000 points, combined with the runner-up finish at the WTA 500
Brisbane Open, bringing her total to 2,335 points so far. Her early exit in the
first round of the Dubai Open against Donna Vekic provided an opportunity for
her rivals to close the gap in the Race.
Principal threats
to Sabalenka's dominance
The Middle
East swing saw
Elena Rybakina clinching the title at the Abu Dhabi Open,
reaching the final at the Qatar Open, and securing a spot in the quarterfinals
at Dubai. Her earlier triumph in Brisbane at the beginning of the year, where
she defeated Sabalenka 6-0, 6-3 in the final, accounts for the bulk of her
points, placing her at 2,043, despite her second-round exit at the Aussie Open.
Iga
Swiatek, who exited in the fourth round of the AO, emerged as the top points
earner in the Middle East with a title win at the Doha Open and a semifinal
appearance in Dubai. The Polish player stands out as the only tennis player to
capture the same WTA title three times since 2015 (and also the only one to
achieve this feat three times at the same Grand Slam in the same period).
Slightly
further behind are Australian Open finalist Qinwen Zheng with 1,710 points,
followed by
Jelena Ostapenko with 1,478 points, courtesy of two titles in
Adelaide and Linz.
Sabalenka among
the favorites at Indian Wells
Not only
her title defense in Melbourne cements Sabalenka as one of the primary
contenders to beat. The Belarusian has already showcased her prowess in the
California desert, reaching the final in 2023. However, on that occasion, it
was Elena Rybakina (7-6, 6-4) who emerged victorious, securing her first WTA
1000 title.
As the
second seed, Sabalenka is guaranteed to avoid facing the other major favourite,
Iga Swiatek, until a potential final. Nevertheless, the recent loss to Donna
Vekic raised concerns about Sabalenka's form, as her opponent staged a comeback
from a set down with a nine-game winning run to seal the match 6-7(5), 6-3, 6-0
in Vekic's favor.
WTA Race Update
Rank | Player | Points |
1 | Aryna Sabalenka | 2335 |
2 | Elena Rybakina | 2043 |
3 | Iga Swiatek | 2020 |
4 | Qinwen Zheng | 1710 |
5 | Jelena Ostapenko | 1478 |
6 | Jasmine Paolini | 1287 |
7 | Coco Gauff | 1255 |
8 | Anna Kalinskaya | 1237 |
9 | Dayana Yastremska | 975 |
10 | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | 962 |
11 | Marta Kostyuk | 960 |
12 | Emma Navarro | 858 |
13 | Daria Kasatkina | 848 |
14 | Karolina Pliskova | 831 |
15 | Linda Noskova | 770 |
16 | Katie Boulter | 745 |
17 | Victoria Azarenka | 715 |
18 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 661 |
19 | Sorana Cirstea | 575 |
20 | Barbora Krejcikova | 539 |