In this exclusive preview we will look at Elena
Rybakina and Iga Swiatek facing eachother for the first time in a final on
Saturday, February 17, at the WTA 1000 Qatar Open.
Two of the main dominators
of the Tour in the past year will now meet for the sixth time.
The official head-to-head
record favours the Kazakh 3-1. Rybakina also won their last three meetings. Oddly enough, the bookies have placed the Polish World No.1 as the favourite. We think this will be a close battle (see prediction below).
The former
Wimbledon champion Rybakina has had an impeccable year with a 15-2 record in 2024. She also won 2 titles in just 4 tournaments. She secured the Brisbane International and won the Abu Dhabi Open last week.
Rybakina
leads in victories, currently enjoying an 8-match winning streak. Moreover, few
players can boast a favorable head-to-head against Swiatek. Only Maria Sakkari
has a positive record with at least three victories over Swiatek, albeit in
five matches (60%). Until now, no player has surpassed the Polish player in
five encounters, a streak that could change this Saturday at the hands of
Rybakina.
Considering
that this is the first final between the two players, Swiatek can boast much
greater success in this stage. The Polish player has won 17 titles in 21 finals
(81%), while Rybakina managed 7 titles in 16 finals (44%).
The current
world No. 1 has been relentless in Doha, with an 11-match winning streak and
winning the last 21 sets played in the tournament. Swiatek is just one match
away from claiming her third consecutive title at the Qatar Open. If Swiatek wins she becomes the most successful champion in the history of the tournament.
The
finalists' journey to the Qatar Open Final
Rybakina
arrived after an intense week in Abu Dhabi and debuted just two days after
lifting the trophy, showcasing great form against Zhu Lin (6-2, 6-1). Her next
opponent was the 16th seed Emma Navarro, who pushed her to the third set (6-1,
6-7, 6-4). Her following victims were two former Grand Slam finalist: Leylah
Fernandez (6-4, 6-2) and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (6-2, 6-4). Her problem might be, going into this final, fatigue. The so-called IceQueen will be playing her ninth match in ten days. Will she still have the energy after this brutal sequence of playing so many consecutive matches?
On the
other hand, Swiatek comes in fresher. It is her first tournament since the
Australian Open. This means she entered the tournament three weeks after her
elimination in Melbourne. The 4-times Grand Slam champion defeated Sorana
Cirstea in the first round (6-1, 6-1) and then Ekaterina Aleksandrova (6-1,
6-4). The quarterfinals were against Victoria Azarenka (6-4, 6-0). She
subsequently advanced directly to the final after Karolina Pliskova's
withdrawal. If Swiatek wins this final, she will beat Elena Rybakina for the first time since 2021. Whatever the outcome this is a must watch. It's a final between 2 of the best players on the WTA Tour.
Cristhián Ávila is a tennis journalist based in Santiago, Chile, and has been part of the TennisUpToDate team since early 2023. He covers the ATP and WTA Tours as well as all four Grand Slams, producing breaking news, match reports, analysis, and regular liveblogs from major tournaments.
His reporting combines statistical analysis with clear explanation, helping readers understand tactical developments, player form, and broader storylines across the tour. Working fluently in both Spanish and English, Cristhián collaborates with an international editorial team and contributes to comprehensive global coverage. As part of his work, he has conducted interviews and media interactions with leading figures in the sport, including Caroline Wozniacki and John McEnroe.
In his journalism, Cristhián places strong emphasis on careful sourcing, editorial accuracy, and updating articles promptly when new, verified information becomes available. His coverage is grounded in research, context, and direct engagement with professional tennis.